Engine / Calendars

Probabilistic Calendar Risks

Weather, downtime and blackout windows modelled as probabilistic calendar effects inside the schedule run.

Engine / Calendars

Weather Is a Risk, Not an Assumption.

Most schedules bury weather in an allowance and hope. Model it instead: a seasonal shutdown, scattered storms, a daily chance of a rain-out — or real historical weather turned into downtime. Each iteration then draws its own calendar.

What does this calendar model?
Step 1 of 3
calendars / how downtime is modelledlive
01Seasonal shutdowns with uncertain start and end
02Recurring storm events scattered through a season
03Per-day probability of downtime over a period
04Real weather history via Open-Meteo ERA5
05Downtime thresholds on wind, wave height and rainfall
06Downtime drawn per iteration, not averaged away
07Calendars suspend only the activities you choose
08Weather exposure becomes visible in P50 and P80
01 / At a Glance

What You Get

  • Weather and downtime windows
  • Calendar-driven risk exposure
  • Direct impact on schedule logic
02 / Next Step

See It on Your Own Project.

Start your Demo and run your first Monte Carlo analysis on your own schedule, or talk to sales and we will take you through it on a sample project. No card needed.

Talk to Sales